Who will Colby Thicknesse 🇦🇺 fight next?
Saves Colby Thicknesse in this browser only.
Not confirmed as of 2 Oct 2026: no opponent or date has been officially announced.
Most likely Ethyn Ewing (6%), UFC Sydney, Afterpay Arena, 7 Feb 2027. Next: Benardo Sopaj (6%), Jean Matsumoto (6%).
Latest status: Last fight: Beat Vince Morales (Decision (unanimous), UFC Fight Night, 2 May 2026). No fight announced. Unofficial rank #25 (NextSmash formula, not a UFC ranking).
Updated (UAE time) · Percentages are NextSmash model estimates, not facts or betting advice.
Unofficial rank #25 Not a UFC ranking. Ranks 16–30 come from the NextSmash formula (record, last 3 results, ranked wins, activity, Meta board). How it works.
Forecast: likely opponents Model estimate
Each percentage is the estimated chance of being his next opponent. These are not chances of winning.
- 6%chance next opponentModel pick: Unofficial #25 and #23, neither has a fight booked. Ethyn Ewing won last time out, against Rafael Estevam (4 Apr 2026). Riser.Likely event: UFC Sydney · Afterpay Arena · 7 Feb 2027
- 6%chance next opponentModel pick: Unofficial #25 and #24, neither has a fight booked. Benardo Sopaj won last time out, against Timmy Cuamba (16 May 2026).Likely event: UFC Sydney · Afterpay Arena · 7 Feb 2027
- 6%chance next opponentModel pick: Unofficial #25 and #26, neither has a fight booked. Jean Matsumoto won last time out, against Bekzat Almakhan (27 Jun 2026).Likely event: UFC Sydney · Afterpay Arena · 7 Feb 2027
Field / other: 82%, including Rafael Estevam 5%. This covers everyone not listed above.
- Likely event
- UFC Sydney · Afterpay Arena · 7 Feb 2027 · Event page: UFC Fight Night Sydney
- Last fight
- Win vs Vince Morales · Decision (unanimous) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night · 2 May 2026
- Career stage
- 2 straight wins.
- Confidence
- Low (High = officially booked · Medium = reported or a fighter's own claim · Low = model only)
- Last updated
- (UAE time)
What changed?
- UFC.com: UFC Fight Night Sydney, Afterpay Arena, Sun 7 Feb 2027 · source
Only dated items with a source are listed: news reports used for the estimate, plus changes to our logged estimates.
Fight history Pro record 9-1-0
| Result | Opponent | Method | Rd | Time | Event | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | Vince Morales | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates | |
| W | Josias Musasa | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes | |
| L | Aleksandre Topuria 🇬🇪 | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 | |
| W | Marvin Malunes | TKO (Elbows) · R1, - | 1 | - | Hex Fight Series 33 | |
| W | Norman Agcorpra | Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · R1, 2:38 | 1 | 2:38 | Canggu Fight Night 32 | |
| W | Jufri Gobel | TKO (Ground and Pound) · R1, 1:50 | 1 | 1:50 | Canggu Fight Night 31 | |
| W | Michael Mannu | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | Hex Fight Series 29 | |
| W | Michael Barber | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | Hex Fight Series 25 | |
| W | Semakadde Kakembo | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | Eternal MMA 70 | |
| W | Shaun Johnson | Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · R1, 4:54 | 1 | 4:54 | Eternal MMA 55 |
Professional MMA bouts only, newest first. Source: ESPN (checked 2 Oct 2026).
Colby Thicknesse: frequently asked questions
When is Colby Thicknesse's next fight?
No fight is officially booked as of 2 Oct 2026. Our outlook: UFC Sydney · Afterpay Arena · 7 Feb 2027.
Who did Colby Thicknesse fight last?
Colby Thicknesse beat Vince Morales at UFC Fight Night on 2 May 2026 (Decision (unanimous) R3 5:00).
Who is Colby Thicknesse likely to fight next?
NextSmash model estimate: Ethyn Ewing (6%), Benardo Sopaj (6%), Jean Matsumoto (6%). Updated 2 Oct 2026. These are estimates, not facts or betting advice.
Is Colby Thicknesse fighting at UFC Sydney?
Nothing is booked as of 2 Oct 2026. UFC Fight Night Sydney is set for Sun 7 Feb 2027 at the Afterpay Arena, and no bouts had been announced when we checked on 2 Oct 2026. Our model's picks that list Sydney as a possible event: Ethyn Ewing (6%), Benardo Sopaj (6%), Jean Matsumoto (6%).
What is Colby Thicknesse's record?
9-1-0 (wins-losses-draws) in professional MMA, as listed on UFC.com (checked 2 Oct 2026).
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Other bantamweight fighters
- Benardo Sopaj Unofficial rank #24 · next: Ethyn Ewing 9%
- Jean Matsumoto Unofficial rank #26 · next: Colby Thicknesse 6%
- Ethyn Ewing Unofficial rank #23 · next: Benardo Sopaj 9%
- Borislav Nikolić Unofficial rank #27 · next: Bryce Mitchell 7%
- Rafael Estevam Unofficial rank #22 · next: Hecher Sosa 9%
More: Bantamweight rankings and next fights · Australia UFC fighters · UFC Fight Night Sydney fight card
Sources
- UFC.com athlete profile (record, status, last fight) · 2 Oct 2026
- ESPN fighter profile (country, fight history) · 2 Oct 2026
- ESPN UFC results (scoreboard API): bouts since Jul 2024 used for the unofficial rank · 2 Oct 2026
- UFC.com: UFC Fight Night Sydney, Afterpay Arena, Sun 7 Feb 2027 · 29 Sep 2026
Percentages are NextSmash model estimates from the factors shown above (see methodology). They are not facts, and not betting advice. Records and ranks come from UFC.com; country from ESPN. Checked 1 Oct 2026.