Track record

Every prediction, graded in public. Each time an odds update is approved, we log every fighter's #1 pick with its date, % and sources. When a fight is officially booked, we grade our last pick before the booking. Nothing gets deleted.

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#1 pick hit rate

0 graded fights

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In our top 3

same fights

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Called ahead

average days our #1 pick led the booking

542

Picks logged

3 snapshots since 1 Oct 2026

105 fighters' next fights were already officially booked when we first logged them. They're shown as pre-booked and excluded from the hit rate. Grading starts with fights booked after 1 Oct 2026.

Calibration

If we're well calibrated, our 50% picks happen about half the time. Every top-3 opponent in a graded fight counts as one forecast. The dashed line is perfect calibration.

Our %	Forecasts	Avg predicted	Happened
0–20%	0	—	—
20–40%	0	—	—
40–60%	0	—	—
60–80%	0	—	—
80–100%	0	—	—

Every prediction

Fighter	Our #1 pick	Status	Actual next opponent	Days ahead
Renato Moicano Lightweight	Tom Nolan 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Tom Nolan · booked by 14 Sep 2026 source
Tom Nolan Lightweight	Renato Moicano 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Renato Moicano · booked by 14 Sep 2026 source
Dan Hooker Lightweight	Brian Ortega 90% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Brian Ortega · booked by 29 Sep 2026 source
Gabriel Bonfim Welterweight	Sean Brady 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Sean Brady · booked by 29 Sep 2026 source
Sean Brady Welterweight	Gabriel Bonfim 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Gabriel Bonfim · booked by 29 Sep 2026 source
Joaquin Buckley Welterweight	Mike Malott 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Mike Malott source
Mike Malott Welterweight	Joaquin Buckley 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Joaquin Buckley source
Jacobe Smith Welterweight	Bruce Whitehead 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Bruce Whitehead · booked by 26 Sep 2026 source
Uroš Medić Welterweight	Kevin Holland 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Kevin Holland · booked by 21 Sep 2026 source
Ciryl Gane Heavyweight	Josh Hokit 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Josh Hokit source
Alexander Volkov Heavyweight	Rizvan Kuniev 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Rizvan Kuniev source
Josh Hokit Heavyweight	Ciryl Gane 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Ciryl Gane source
Rizvan Kuniev Heavyweight	Alexander Volkov 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Alexander Volkov source
Jiří Procházka Light Heavyweight	Navajo Stirling 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Navajo Stirling source
Navajo Stirling Light Heavyweight	Jiří Procházka 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Jiří Procházka source
Azamat Murzakanov Light Heavyweight	Dominick Reyes 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Dominick Reyes source
Dominick Reyes Light Heavyweight	Azamat Murzakanov 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Azamat Murzakanov source
Johnny Walker Light Heavyweight	Mick Parkin 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Mick Parkin source
Nikita Krylov Light Heavyweight	Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev source
Brendan Allen Middleweight	Christian Leroy Duncan 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Christian Leroy Duncan source
Caio Borralho Middleweight	Yousri Belgaroui 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Yousri Belgaroui source
Christian Leroy Duncan Middleweight	Brendan Allen 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Brendan Allen source
Jared Cannonier Middleweight	Ikram Aliskerov 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Ikram Aliskerov source
Abus Magomedov Middleweight	Cam Rowston 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Cam Rowston source
Ikram Aliskerov Middleweight	Jared Cannonier 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Jared Cannonier source
Alexander Volkanovski Featherweight	Movsar Evloev 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Movsar Evloev source
Movsar Evloev Featherweight	Alexander Volkanovski 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Alexander Volkanovski source
Aljamain Sterling Featherweight	Kevin Vallejos 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Kevin Vallejos source
Arnold Allen Featherweight	Aaron Pico 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Aaron Pico source
Kevin Vallejos Featherweight	Aljamain Sterling 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Aljamain Sterling source
Aaron Pico Featherweight	Arnold Allen 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Arnold Allen source
Brian Ortega Featherweight	Dan Hooker 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Dan Hooker source
Petr Yan Bantamweight	Merab Dvalishvili 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Merab Dvalishvili source
Merab Dvalishvili Bantamweight	Petr Yan 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Petr Yan source
Deiveson Figueiredo Bantamweight	Payton Talbott 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Payton Talbott source
Payton Talbott Bantamweight	Deiveson Figueiredo 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Deiveson Figueiredo source
Marcus McGhee Bantamweight	Anthony Romero 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Anthony Romero source
Kyoji Horiguchi Flyweight	Asu Almabayev 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Asu Almabayev source
Lone’er Kavanagh Flyweight	Ramazan Temirov 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Ramazan Temirov source
Asu Almabayev Flyweight	Kyoji Horiguchi 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Kyoji Horiguchi source
Amir Albazi Flyweight	Alessandro Costa 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Alessandro Costa source
Ramazan Temirov Flyweight	Lone’er Kavanagh 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Lone’er Kavanagh source
Kayla Harrison Women's Bantamweight	Amanda Nunes 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Amanda Nunes source
Yana Santos Women's Bantamweight	Luana Santos 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Luana Santos source
Luana Santos Women's Bantamweight	Yana Santos 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Yana Santos source
Macy Chiasson Women's Bantamweight	Bia Mesquita 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Bia Mesquita source
Bia Mesquita Women's Bantamweight	Macy Chiasson 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Macy Chiasson source
Melissa Croden Women's Bantamweight	Chelsea Chandler 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Chelsea Chandler source
Natalia Silva Women's Flyweight	Wang Cong 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Wang Cong source
Erin Blanchfield Women's Flyweight	Jasmine Jasudavicius 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Jasmine Jasudavicius source
Jasmine Jasudavicius Women's Flyweight	Erin Blanchfield 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Erin Blanchfield source
Wang Cong Women's Flyweight	Natalia Silva 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Natalia Silva source
Karine Silva Women's Flyweight	Gabriella Fernandes 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Gabriella Fernandes source
Gabriella Fernandes Women's Flyweight	Karine Silva 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Karine Silva source
Tatiana Suarez Women's Strawweight	Virna Jandiroba 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Virna Jandiroba source
Virna Jandiroba Women's Strawweight	Tatiana Suarez 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Tatiana Suarez source
Loopy Godinez Women's Strawweight	Ketlen Souza 92% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Ketlen Souza source
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev Light Heavyweight	Nikita Krylov 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Nikita Krylov source
Billy Elekana Light Heavyweight	Lucas Fernando 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Lucas Fernando source
Lucas Fernando Light Heavyweight	Billy Elekana 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Billy Elekana source
Felipe Franco Light Heavyweight	Brendson Ribeiro 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Brendson Ribeiro source
Murtazali Magomedov Featherweight	Jose Delano 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Jose Delano source
Keiichiro Nakamura Featherweight	Ollie Schmid 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Ollie Schmid source
Piera Rodriguez Women's Strawweight	Talita Alencar 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Talita Alencar source
Talita Alencar Women's Strawweight	Piera Rodriguez 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Piera Rodriguez source
Ketlen Souza Women's Strawweight	Loopy Godinez 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Loopy Godinez source
Baisangur Susurkaev Middleweight	Donte Johnson 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Donte Johnson source
Donte Johnson Middleweight	Baisangur Susurkaev 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Baisangur Susurkaev source
Ateba Gautier Middleweight	Roman Kopylov 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Roman Kopylov source
Cam Rowston Middleweight	Abus Magomedov 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Abus Magomedov source
Damian Pinas Middleweight	Andrey Pulyaev 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Andrey Pulyaev source
Yousri Belgaroui Middleweight	Caio Borralho 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Caio Borralho source
Mantas Kondratavičius Middleweight	Wes Schultz 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Wes Schultz source
RJ Harris Heavyweight	Allen Frye Jr. 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Allen Frye Jr. source
Anthony Wint Heavyweight	Lucas Armand 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Lucas Armand source
Shamil Gaziev Heavyweight	Tallison Teixeira 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Tallison Teixeira source
Allen Frye Jr. Heavyweight	RJ Harris 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	RJ Harris source
Jhonata Diniz Heavyweight	Tanner Boser 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Tanner Boser source
Tallison Teixeira Heavyweight	Shamil Gaziev 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Shamil Gaziev source
Nina Milošević Women's Bantamweight	Priscila Cachoeira 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Priscila Cachoeira source
Alice Pereira Women's Bantamweight	Daria Zhelezniakova 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Daria Zhelezniakova source
Daria Zhelezniakova Women's Bantamweight	Alice Pereira 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Alice Pereira source
Chelsea Chandler Women's Bantamweight	Melissa Croden 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Melissa Croden source
Priscila Cachoeira Women's Bantamweight	Nina Milošević 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Nina Milošević source
Farman Hasanov Welterweight	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani source
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani Welterweight	Farman Hasanov 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Farman Hasanov source
José Souza Welterweight	Jonny Parsons 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Jonny Parsons source
Tahir Abdullayev Welterweight	Jake Matthews 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Jake Matthews source
Nurullo Aliev Lightweight	Grant Dawson 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Grant Dawson source
Grant Dawson Lightweight	Nurullo Aliev 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Nurullo Aliev source
King Green Lightweight	Esteban Ribovics 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Esteban Ribovics source
Esteban Ribovics Lightweight	King Green 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	King Green source
Chris Duncan Lightweight	Drew Dober 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Drew Dober source
Elijah Smith Bantamweight	Davey Grant 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Davey Grant source
Aleksandre Topuria Bantamweight	Santiago Luna 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Santiago Luna source
Juan Diaz Bantamweight	Adrian Yanez 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Adrian Yanez source
Santiago Luna Bantamweight	Aleksandre Topuria 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Aleksandre Topuria source
Alessandro Costa Flyweight	Amir Albazi 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Amir Albazi source
Alden Coria Flyweight	Imanol Rodriguez 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Imanol Rodriguez source
Bilal Hasan Flyweight	Luis Gurule 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Luis Gurule source
Imanol Rodriguez Flyweight	Alden Coria 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Alden Coria source
Jamey-Lyn Horth Women's Flyweight	Katlyn Cerminara 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Katlyn Cerminara source
Ernesta Kareckaitė Women's Flyweight	Melissa Gatto 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Melissa Gatto source
Melissa Gatto Women's Flyweight	Ernesta Kareckaitė 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Ernesta Kareckaitė source
Tainara Lisboa Women's Flyweight	Lucia Szabova 92% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Pre-booked · excluded	Lucia Szabova source
Joshua Van Flyweight	Manel Kape 55% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Alexandre Pantoja Flyweight	Almabayev–Horiguchi winner 20% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Manel Kape Flyweight	Joshua Van 55% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Brandon Royval Flyweight	Tatsuro Taira 18% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Tatsuro Taira Flyweight	Brandon Royval 18% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Brandon Moreno Flyweight	Charles Johnson 70% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Tim Elliott Flyweight	Sumudaerji 12% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Steve Erceg Flyweight	Tim Elliott 11% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Sumudaerji Flyweight	Tim Elliott 12% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Tagir Ulanbekov Flyweight	Alex Perez 17% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Alex Perez Flyweight	Tagir Ulanbekov 17% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Rei Tsuruya Flyweight	Mitch Raposo 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Charles Johnson Flyweight	Brandon Moreno 70% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Mitch Raposo Flyweight	Rei Tsuruya 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Andre Lima Flyweight	Joseph Morales 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Joseph Morales Flyweight	Andre Lima 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Alibi Idiris Flyweight	Andre Lima 9% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Jose Ochoa Flyweight	Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 6% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel Flyweight	Jose Ochoa 6% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Lucas Rocha Flyweight	Nilson Rojas 8% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Fabia Sintes Flyweight	Nilson Rojas 13% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Nilson Rojas Flyweight	Fabia Sintes 13% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Sean O'Malley Bantamweight	Yan–Dvalishvili winner 15% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Song Yadong Bantamweight	Yan–Dvalishvili winner 20% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Umar Nurmagomedov Bantamweight	Mario Bautista 16% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Mario Bautista Bantamweight	Umar Nurmagomedov 16% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Cory Sandhagen Bantamweight	Aiemann Zahabi 12% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Aiemann Zahabi Bantamweight	Cory Sandhagen 12% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
David Martinez Bantamweight	Cory Sandhagen 10% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Marlon Vera Bantamweight	Raul Rosas Jr. 16% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Raul Rosas Jr. Bantamweight	Marlon Vera 16% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Farid Basharat Bantamweight	Raoni Barcelos 18% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Raoni Barcelos Bantamweight	Farid Basharat 18% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Cody Haddon Bantamweight	Jakub Wiklacz 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Jakub Wiklacz Bantamweight	Cody Haddon 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Hecher Sosa Bantamweight	Cody Haddon 9% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Rafael Estevam Bantamweight	Hecher Sosa 9% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Ethyn Ewing Bantamweight	Benardo Sopaj 9% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Benardo Sopaj Bantamweight	Ethyn Ewing 9% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Colby Thicknesse Bantamweight	Ethyn Ewing 6% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Jean Matsumoto Bantamweight	Colby Thicknesse 6% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Borislav Nikolić Bantamweight	Bryce Mitchell 7% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Abdul Hussein Bantamweight	Bryce Mitchell 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Bryce Mitchell Bantamweight	Abdul Hussein 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Diego Lopes Featherweight	Lerone Murphy 18% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Lerone Murphy Featherweight	Diego Lopes 18% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Jean Silva Featherweight	Yair Rodriguez 15% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Yair Rodriguez Featherweight	Jean Silva 15% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Youssef Zalal Featherweight	Steve Garcia 17% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Steve Garcia Featherweight	Youssef Zalal 17% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Melquizael Costa Featherweight	Steve Garcia 12% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Patricio Pitbull Featherweight	David Onama 18% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
David Onama Featherweight	Patricio Pitbull 18% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Pat Sabatini Featherweight	Pavel Andrusca 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Pavel Andrusca Featherweight	Pat Sabatini 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Joanderson Brito Featherweight	Pat Sabatini 8% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Luke Riley Featherweight	Joanderson Brito 7% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Tommy McMillen Featherweight	Luke Riley 6% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Marcio Barbosa Featherweight	Tommy McMillen 6% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Kaan Ofli Featherweight	Jamall Emmers 7% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Jamall Emmers Featherweight	Rodrigo Vera 8% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Rodrigo Vera Featherweight	Jamall Emmers 8% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Shane Collins Featherweight	Rodrigo Vera 8% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Sean King III Featherweight	Marwan Rahiki 10% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Yadier del Valle Featherweight	Marwan Rahiki 14% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Marwan Rahiki Featherweight	Yadier del Valle 14% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Justin Gaethje Lightweight	Arman Tsarukyan 40% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Ilia Topuria Lightweight	Justin Gaethje 25% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Arman Tsarukyan Lightweight	Justin Gaethje 40% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Charles Oliveira Lightweight	Diego Lopes 70% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Max Holloway Lightweight	Conor McGregor 25% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Paddy Pimblett Lightweight	Quillan Salkilld 50% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Benoît Saint Denis Lightweight	Quillan Salkilld 15% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Quillan Salkilld Lightweight	Paddy Pimblett 50% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Mauricio Ruffy Lightweight	Benoît Saint Denis 12% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Salahdine Parnasse Lightweight	Rafael Fiziev 15% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Mateusz Gamrot Lightweight	Rafael Fiziev 15% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Rafael Fiziev Lightweight	Mateusz Gamrot 15% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Beneil Dariush Lightweight	Mateusz Gamrot 8% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Tommy Gantt Lightweight	Manoel Sousa 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Manoel Sousa Lightweight	Tommy Gantt 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Rongzhu Lightweight	Tommy Gantt 10% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
MarQuel Mederos Lightweight	Rongzhu 8% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Magomed Zaynukov Lightweight	Stan Dorsainvil 9% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Stan Dorsainvil Lightweight	Magomed Zaynukov 9% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Tofiq Musayev Lightweight	Stan Dorsainvil 8% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Axel Sola Lightweight	Tofiq Musayev 8% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Mason Jones Lightweight	Chris Padilla 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Chris Padilla Lightweight	Mason Jones 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Islam Makhachev Welterweight	Carlos Prates 70% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Ian Machado Garry Welterweight	Michael Morales 45% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Carlos Prates Welterweight	Islam Makhachev 70% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Michael Morales Welterweight	Ian Machado Garry 45% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Jack Della Maddalena Welterweight	Leon Edwards 25% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Belal Muhammad Welterweight	Kamaru Usman 20% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Leon Edwards Welterweight	Jack Della Maddalena 25% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Kamaru Usman Welterweight	Belal Muhammad 20% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Yaroslav Amosov Welterweight	Buckley–Malott winner 15% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Daniel Rodriguez Welterweight	Daniil Donchenko 25% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Neil Magny Welterweight	Daniel Rodriguez 10% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Jonathan Micallef Welterweight	Ty Miller 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Daniil Donchenko Welterweight	Daniel Rodriguez 25% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Ty Miller Welterweight	Jonathan Micallef 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Michael Oliveira Welterweight	Ty Miller 10% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Cam Nelson Welterweight	Jeremiah Wells 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Jeremiah Wells Welterweight	Cam Nelson 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Abubakar Vagaev Welterweight	Myktybek Orolbai 8% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Myktybek Orolbai Welterweight	Levan Chokheli 9% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Sam Patterson Welterweight	Levan Chokheli 13% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Levan Chokheli Welterweight	Sam Patterson 13% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Sean Strickland Middleweight	Nassourdine Imavov 65% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Khamzat Chimaev Middleweight	Joe Pyfer 25% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Dricus Du Plessis Middleweight	Khamzat Chimaev 17% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Nassourdine Imavov Middleweight	Sean Strickland 65% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Joe Pyfer Middleweight	Khamzat Chimaev 25% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Gregory Rodrigues Middleweight	Anthony Hernandez 18% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Anthony Hernandez Middleweight	Gregory Rodrigues 18% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Israel Adesanya Middleweight	Retires or steps away first 15% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Bo Nickal Middleweight	Shara Magomedov 18% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Shara Magomedov Middleweight	Bo Nickal 18% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Michael Page Middleweight	Ryan Gandra 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Ryan Gandra Middleweight	Michael Page 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Jacob Malkoun Middleweight	Cezary Oleksiejczuk 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Cezary Oleksiejczuk Middleweight	Jacob Malkoun 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Edmen Shahbazyan Middleweight	Jacob Malkoun 10% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Torrez Finney Middleweight	Nursulton Ruziboev 10% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Jackson McVey Middleweight	Nursulton Ruziboev 11% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Nursulton Ruziboev Middleweight	Jackson McVey 11% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Carlos Ulberg Light Heavyweight	Magomed Ankalaev 40% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Magomed Ankalaev Light Heavyweight	Carlos Ulberg 40% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Alex Pereira Light Heavyweight	Sergei Pavlovich 35% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Khalil Rountree Jr. Light Heavyweight	Paulo Costa 18% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Paulo Costa Light Heavyweight	Khalil Rountree Jr. 18% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Jamahal Hill Light Heavyweight	Khalil Rountree Jr. 13% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Jan Błachowicz Light Heavyweight	Robert Whittaker 25% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Bogdan Guskov Light Heavyweight	Alonzo Menifield 18% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Robert Whittaker Light Heavyweight	Jan Błachowicz 25% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Alonzo Menifield Light Heavyweight	Bogdan Guskov 18% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Reinier de Ridder Light Heavyweight	Muhammad Saidov 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Muhammad Saidov Light Heavyweight	Reinier de Ridder 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Magomed Tuchalov Light Heavyweight	Reinier de Ridder 12% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Luis Hernandez Light Heavyweight	Iwo Baraniewski 9% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Iwo Baraniewski Light Heavyweight	Luis Hernandez 9% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Volkan Oezdemir Light Heavyweight	Diyar Nurgozhay 8% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Diyar Nurgozhay Light Heavyweight	Volkan Oezdemir 8% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Liu Ce Light Heavyweight	Jimmy Crute 7% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Jimmy Crute Light Heavyweight	Dustin Jacoby 8% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Modestas Bukauskas Light Heavyweight	Dustin Jacoby 14% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Dustin Jacoby Light Heavyweight	Modestas Bukauskas 14% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Tom Aspinall Heavyweight	Gane–Hokit winner 40% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Sergei Pavlovich Heavyweight	Alex Pereira 35% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Curtis Blaydes Heavyweight	Vitor Petrino 16% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Waldo Cortes Acosta Heavyweight	Vitor Petrino 13% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Vitor Petrino Heavyweight	Curtis Blaydes 16% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Serghei Spivac Heavyweight	Curtis Blaydes 13% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Ante Delija Heavyweight	Valter Walker 11% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Valter Walker Heavyweight	Ante Delija 11% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Tyrell Fortune Heavyweight	Ante Delija 8% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Derrick Lewis Heavyweight	Aleksandar Rakić 11% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Mario Pinto Heavyweight	Aleksandar Rakić 15% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Aleksandar Rakić Heavyweight	Mario Pinto 15% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Brando Peričić Heavyweight	Jovan Leka 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Jovan Leka Heavyweight	Brando Peričić 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
José Montanha Heavyweight	Brando Peričić 13% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Gokhan Saricam Heavyweight	Steven Asplund 11% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Steven Asplund Heavyweight	Gokhan Saricam 11% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Gable Steveson Heavyweight	Denzel Freeman 8% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Denzel Freeman Heavyweight	Ryan Spann 9% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Robelis Despaigne Heavyweight	Ryan Spann 13% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Ryan Spann Heavyweight	Robelis Despaigne 13% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Mackenzie Dern Women's Strawweight	Suarez–Jandiroba winner 35% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Zhang Weili Women's Strawweight	Denise Gomes 18% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Denise Gomes Women's Strawweight	Zhang Weili 18% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Gillian Robertson Women's Strawweight	Denise Gomes 12% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Yan Xiaonan Women's Strawweight	Fatima Kline 14% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Fatima Kline Women's Strawweight	Yan Xiaonan 14% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Alexia Thainara Women's Strawweight	Yan Xiaonan 9% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Jéssica Andrade Women's Strawweight	Retires or steps away first 10% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Tabatha Ricci Women's Strawweight	Jéssica Andrade 9% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Amanda Lemos Women's Strawweight	Retires or steps away first 10% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Amanda Ribas Women's Strawweight	Mizuki 11% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Angela Hill Women's Strawweight	Mizuki 13% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Mizuki Women's Strawweight	Angela Hill 13% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Jaqueline Amorim Women's Strawweight	Shanelle Dyer 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Shanelle Dyer Women's Strawweight	Jaqueline Amorim 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Carol Foro Women's Strawweight	Jaqueline Amorim 9% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Iasmin Lucindo Women's Strawweight	Carol Foro 6% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Alice Ardelean Women's Strawweight	Iasmin Lucindo 6% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Delphine Benouaich Women's Strawweight	Tina Black 8% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Tina Black Women's Strawweight	Yazmin Jauregui 9% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Yazmin Jauregui Women's Strawweight	Tina Black 9% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Julia Polastri Women's Strawweight	Melissa Amaya 7% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Melissa Amaya Women's Strawweight	Marina Spasić 9% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Sam Hughes Women's Strawweight	Marina Spasić 14% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Marina Spasić Women's Strawweight	Sam Hughes 14% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Valentina Shevchenko Women's Flyweight	Silva–Wang winner 25% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Alexa Grasso Women's Flyweight	Rose Namajunas 15% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Manon Fiorot Women's Flyweight	Maycee Barber 16% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Rose Namajunas Women's Flyweight	Alexa Grasso 15% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Maycee Barber Women's Flyweight	Manon Fiorot 16% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Tracy Cortez Women's Flyweight	Miranda Maverick 15% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Miranda Maverick Women's Flyweight	Tracy Cortez 15% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Casey O'Neill Women's Flyweight	Miranda Maverick 11% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Eduarda Moura Women's Flyweight	Regina Tarin 18% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Regina Tarin Women's Flyweight	Eduarda Moura 18% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Carli Judice Women's Flyweight	Jeisla Chaves 12% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Jeisla Chaves Women's Flyweight	Carli Judice 12% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Dione Barbosa Women's Flyweight	Carli Judice 12% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
JJ Aldrich Women's Flyweight	Jeisla Chaves 9% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Juliana Miller Women's Flyweight	Tereza Bledá 11% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Tereza Bledá Women's Flyweight	Juliana Miller 11% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Veronica Hardy Women's Flyweight	Tereza Bledá 9% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Anna Melisano Women's Flyweight	Lauren Murphy 9% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Yuneisy Duben Women's Flyweight	Lauren Murphy 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Lauren Murphy Women's Flyweight	Yuneisy Duben 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Julianna Peña Women's Bantamweight	Joselyne Edwards 12% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Joselyne Edwards Women's Bantamweight	Harrison–Nunes winner 15% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Ailin Perez Women's Bantamweight	Harrison–Nunes winner 15% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Raquel Pennington Women's Bantamweight	Retires or steps away first 15% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Norma Dumont Women's Bantamweight	Jacqueline Cavalcanti 15% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Jacqueline Cavalcanti Women's Bantamweight	Karol Rosa 17% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Karol Rosa Women's Bantamweight	Jacqueline Cavalcanti 17% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Michelle Montague Women's Bantamweight	Nora Cornolle 12% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Nora Cornolle Women's Bantamweight	Michelle Montague 12% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Miesha Tate Women's Bantamweight	Nora Cornolle 12% first logged 1 Oct 2026	Open	—
Klaudia Syguła Women's Bantamweight	Melissa Mullins 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—
Melissa Mullins Women's Bantamweight	Klaudia Syguła 15% first logged 2 Oct 2026	Open	—

Grading: a hit means our #1 pick was the booked opponent. Top 3 means the booked opponent was in our top three. Days ahead counts from the first snapshot where that opponent was our unbroken #1 to the booking date. Percentages are model estimates, not betting advice. The raw append-only log is public at /predictions_log.json. We'll publish a Brier score once 10 or more fights are graded.