Who will Ian Machado Garry 🇮🇪 fight next?
Not confirmed as of 1 Oct 2026: no opponent or date has been officially announced.
Most likely Michael Morales (45%), Proposed: Saudi Arabia, 28 Nov. No such card announced.. Next: Bonfim–Brady winner (10%), Carlos Prates (3%).
Latest status: Lost his title shot to Makhachev at UFC 330. Wants Morales before the end of the year. The pair agreed by DM to fight in Saudi Arabia on 28 Nov, but the UFC has not booked it and no Saudi card on that date has been announced.
Updated (UAE time) · Percentages are NextSmash model estimates, not facts or betting advice.
Forecast: likely opponents Model estimate
Each percentage is the estimated chance of being his next opponent. These are not chances of winning.
- 45%chance next opponentBoth men agreed publicly (DMs posted 21 Sep). Garry calls it 'the only fight that makes sense'. Not booked.Likely event: Proposed: Saudi Arabia, 28 Nov. No such card announced.
- Bonfim–Brady winner10%chance next opponentThe other top-6 fight. Its winner is the natural next eliminator opponent if Morales falls through.
- 3%chance next opponentHe beat Prates in Apr 2025. Prates is heading to a title shot.
Field / other: 42%, including Islam Makhachev 3%. This covers everyone not listed above.
- Likely event
- Late 2026 or early 2027. The fighters proposed Saudi Arabia on 28 Nov (no card announced).
- Last fight
- Loss vs Islam Makhachev · Decision (unanimous) R5 5:00 · UFC 330 · 15 Aug 2026
- Career stage
- One loss (title fight). Rebuilding with a top-5 opponent.
- Confidence
- Medium (High = officially booked · Medium = reported or a fighter's own claim · Low = model only)
- Last updated
- (UAE time)
What changed?
- Sherdog: Garry and Morales agree to fight (Saudi Arabia, 28 Nov proposed) · source
- MiddleEasy: Morales publishes Garry DMs; not booked by the UFC · source
- MMA Fighting: Garry calls Morales 'the only fight that makes sense' · source
Only dated items with a source are listed: news reports used for the estimate, plus changes to our logged estimates.
Fight history Pro record 17-2-0
| Result | Opponent | Method | Rd | Time | Event | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | Islam Makhachev 🇷🇺 | Decision (unanimous) · R5, 5:00 | 5 | 5:00 | UFC 330 | |
| W | Belal Muhammad 🇵🇸 | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker | |
| W | Carlos Prates 🇧🇷 | Decision (unanimous) · R5, 5:00 | 5 | 5:00 | UFC on ESPN: Machado Garry vs. Prates | |
| L | Shavkat Rakhmonov | Decision (unanimous) · R5, 5:00 | 5 | 5:00 | UFC 310 | |
| W | Michael Page 🏴 | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | UFC 303 | |
| W | Geoff Neal | Decision (split) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | UFC 298 | |
| W | Neil Magny 🇺🇸 | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | UFC 292 | |
| W | Daniel Rodriguez 🇺🇸 | TKO (head kick and punches) · R1, 2:57 | 1 | 2:57 | UFC on ABC: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida | |
| W | Song Kenan | TKO (punches) · R3, 4:22 | 3 | 4:22 | UFC 285 | |
| W | Gabriel Green | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | UFC 276 | |
| W | Darian Weeks | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | UFC 273 | |
| W | Jordan Williams | KO (punches) · R1, 4:59 | 1 | 4:59 | UFC 268 | |
| W | Jack Grant | Decision (unanimous) · R5, 5:00 | 5 | 5:00 | Cage Warriors 125 | |
| W | Rostem Akman | KO (head kick) · R2, 2:28 | 2 | 2:28 | Cage Warriors 121 | |
| W | Lawrence Jordan Tracey | TKO (punches and elbows) · R1, 4:02 | 1 | 4:02 | Cage Warriors 119 | |
| W | George McManus | TKO (punches and head kick) · R2, 3:17 | 2 | 3:17 | Cage Warriors 115 | |
| W | Mateusz Figlak | Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) · R1, 3:41 | 1 | 3:41 | Cage Warriors 110 | |
| W | Matteo Ceglia | TKO (flying knee) · R2, 1:01 | 2 | 1:01 | Cage Warriors: Unplugged 2 | |
| W | James Sheehan | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | Cage Warriors 101 |
Professional MMA bouts only, newest first. Source: Wikipedia (checked 2 Oct 2026).
Ian Machado Garry: frequently asked questions
When is Ian Machado Garry's next fight?
No fight is officially booked as of 1 Oct 2026. Our outlook: Late 2026 or early 2027. The fighters proposed Saudi Arabia on 28 Nov (no card announced).
Who did Ian Machado Garry fight last?
Ian Machado Garry lost to Islam Makhachev at UFC 330 on 15 Aug 2026 (Decision (unanimous) R5 5:00).
Who is Ian Machado Garry likely to fight next?
NextSmash model estimate: Michael Morales (45%), Bonfim–Brady winner (10%), Carlos Prates (3%). Updated 1 Oct 2026. These are estimates, not facts or betting advice.
What is Ian Machado Garry's record?
17-2-0 (wins-losses-draws) in professional MMA, as listed on UFC.com (checked 1 Oct 2026).
Your pick Saved on this device only
Just for you: your pick stays in this browser. It is not a community vote, and no one else sees it.
Other welterweight fighters
- Islam Makhachev Champion · next: Carlos Prates 70%
- Carlos Prates #2 · next: Islam Makhachev 70%
- Michael Morales #3 · next: Ian Machado Garry 45%
- Jack Della Maddalena #4 · next: Leon Edwards 25%
- Gabriel Bonfim #5 · next: Sean Brady 92%
More: Welterweight rankings and next fights · Ireland UFC fighters
Sources
- UFC.com athlete profile (record, rank, last fight) · 1 Oct 2026
- UFC.com rankings (Media Panel + Meta boards) · 1 Oct 2026
- ESPN fighter profile (country, record cross-check) · 1 Oct 2026
- Sherdog: Garry and Morales agree to fight (Saudi Arabia, 28 Nov proposed) · 22 Sep 2026
- MiddleEasy: Morales publishes Garry DMs; not booked by the UFC · 21 Sep 2026
- MMA Fighting: Garry calls Morales 'the only fight that makes sense' · 8 Sep 2026
Percentages are NextSmash model estimates from the factors shown above (see methodology). They are not facts, and not betting advice. Records and ranks come from UFC.com; country from ESPN. Checked 1 Oct 2026.