NextSmash MMA

Who's next for the welterweight title?

Champion: Islam Makhachev. Most likely next title challenger: Carlos Prates (70%, model estimate), Jan 2027 target. No date or venue announced..

Updated (UAE time) · Percentages are NextSmash model estimates, not facts or betting advice.

Welterweight rankings and next fights

Media Panel board on ufc.com, checked 1 Oct 2026. The Meta (algorithmic) rank is shown alongside. Champion plus Media top 15, plus unbeaten riser Jacobe Smith. Next re-check: after UFC 332 (3 Oct). Ranks 16–30 are unofficial: a NextSmash formula, not a UFC ranking (see About).

UFC official rankings · champion + Media panel top 15, from UFC.com
CIslam Makhachev
29-1-0 · Russia · next: Carlos Prates 70%
1Ian Machado Garry
17-2-0 · Ireland · next: Michael Morales 45%
2Carlos Prates
24-7-0 · Brazil · next: Islam Makhachev 70%
3Michael Morales
19-0-0 · Ecuador · next: Ian Machado Garry 45%
4Jack Della Maddalena
18-4-0 · Australia · next: Leon Edwards 25%
5Gabriel Bonfim
20-1-0 · Brazil · next: Sean Brady 92%
6Sean Brady
19-2-0 · United States · next: Gabriel Bonfim 92%
7Belal Muhammad
24-6-0 · Palestine · next: Kamaru Usman 20%
8Leon Edwards
22-6-0 · England · next: Jack Della Maddalena 25%
9Kamaru Usman
21-5-0 · Nigeria · next: Belal Muhammad 20%
10Joaquin Buckley
21-8-0 · United States · next: Mike Malott 92%
11Yaroslav Amosov
30-1-0 · Ukraine · next: Buckley–Malott winner 15%
12Uroš Medić Riser
14-3-0 · Serbia · next: Kevin Holland 92%
13Mike Malott Riser
14-2-1 · Canada · next: Joaquin Buckley 92%
14Daniel Rodriguez
20-6-0 · United States · next: Daniil Donchenko 25%
15Neil Magny
32-14-0 · United States · next: Daniel Rodriguez 10%
NextSmash unofficial ranks 16–30 · our formula, not a UFC ranking · how it works
16Jacobe Smith Riser Unofficial rank
12-0-0 · United States · next: Bruce Whitehead 92%
17Jonathan Micallef Riser Unofficial rank
10-1-0 · Australia · next: Ty Miller 15%
18Daniil Donchenko Riser Unofficial rank
16-2-0 · Ukraine · next: Daniel Rodriguez 25%
19Ty Miller Riser Unofficial rank
8-0-0 · United States · next: Jonathan Micallef 15%
20Farman Hasanov Riser Unofficial rank
6-0-0 · Azerbaijan · next: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 92%
21Michael Oliveira Riser Unofficial rank
10-0-0 · Brazil · next: Ty Miller 10%
22Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani Riser Unofficial rank
11-2-0 · United States · next: Farman Hasanov 92%
23José Souza Riser Unofficial rank
9-1-0 · Brazil · next: Jonny Parsons 92%
24Cam Nelson Riser Unofficial rank
8-1-0 · Canada · next: Jeremiah Wells 15%
25Jeremiah Wells Unofficial rank
14-4-1 · United States · next: Cam Nelson 15%
26Tahir Abdullayev Riser Unofficial rank
20-3-0 · Azerbaijan · next: Jake Matthews 92%
27Abubakar Vagaev Unofficial rank
25-4-0 · Russia · next: Myktybek Orolbai 8%
28Myktybek Orolbai Unofficial rank
16-3-1 · Kyrgyzstan · next: Levan Chokheli 9%
29Sam Patterson Unofficial rank
15-3-1 · England · next: Levan Chokheli 13%
30Levan Chokheli Unofficial rank
15-3-0 · Georgia · next: Sam Patterson 13%

Ranked in the Meta top 15 only:

Booked welterweight fights

Other divisions

Flyweight · Bantamweight · Featherweight · Lightweight · Middleweight · Light Heavyweight · Heavyweight · Women's Strawweight · Women's Flyweight · Women's Bantamweight