NextSmash MMA

Who's next for the flyweight title?

Champion: Joshua Van. Most likely next title challenger: Manel Kape (55%, model estimate), Early 2027 (expected). Nothing announced..

Updated (UAE time) · Percentages are NextSmash model estimates, not facts or betting advice.

Flyweight rankings and next fights

Media Panel board on ufc.com, checked 1 Oct 2026, with the Meta rank alongside. Champion plus Media top 15; risers are flagged inside the top 15. Next re-check: after UFC 332 (3 Oct). Ranks 16–30 are unofficial: a NextSmash formula, not a UFC ranking (see About).

UFC official rankings · champion + Media panel top 15, from UFC.com
CJoshua Van
18-2-0 · Myanmar · next: Manel Kape 55%
1Alexandre Pantoja
30-7-0 · Brazil · next: Almabayev–Horiguchi winner 20%
2Manel Kape
23-7-0 · Portugal · next: Joshua Van 55%
3Brandon Royval
18-9-0 · United States · next: Tatsuro Taira 18%
4Tatsuro Taira
18-2-0 · Japan · next: Brandon Royval 18%
5Kyoji Horiguchi
36-6-0 · Japan · next: Asu Almabayev 92%
6Lone’er Kavanagh
10-2-0 · England · next: Ramazan Temirov 92%
7Asu Almabayev
24-3-0 · Kazakhstan · next: Kyoji Horiguchi 92%
8Brandon Moreno
24-10-2 · Mexico · next: Charles Johnson 70%
9Amir Albazi
17-3-0 · Iraq · next: Alessandro Costa 92%
10Ramazan Temirov Riser
20-3-0 · Uzbekistan · next: Lone’er Kavanagh 92%
11Tim Elliott
23-14-1 · United States · next: Sumudaerji 12%
12Steve Erceg
14-5-0 · Australia · next: Tim Elliott 11%
13Sumudaerji Riser
20-7-0 · China · next: Tim Elliott 12%
14Tagir Ulanbekov
17-3-0 · Russia · next: Alex Perez 17%
15Alex Perez
26-11-0 · United States · next: Tagir Ulanbekov 17%
NextSmash unofficial ranks 16–30 · our formula, not a UFC ranking · how it works
16Rei Tsuruya Unofficial rank
12-1-0 · Japan · next: Mitch Raposo 15%
17Charles Johnson Unofficial rank
20-9-0 · United States · next: Brandon Moreno 70%
18Alessandro Costa Riser Unofficial rank
17-5-0 · Brazil · next: Amir Albazi 92%
19Alden Coria Riser Unofficial rank
13-3-0 · United States · next: Imanol Rodriguez 92%
20Mitch Raposo Unofficial rank
11-3-0 · United States · next: Rei Tsuruya 15%
21Bilal Hasan Riser Unofficial rank
10-0-0 · Indonesia · next: Luis Gurule 92%
22Andre Lima Unofficial rank
12-1-0 · Brazil · next: Joseph Morales 15%
23Imanol Rodriguez Riser Unofficial rank
7-0-0 · Mexico · next: Alden Coria 92%
24Joseph Morales Unofficial rank
14-3-0 · United States · next: Andre Lima 15%
25Alibi Idiris Unofficial rank
11-1-0 · Kazakhstan · next: Andre Lima 9%
26Jose Ochoa Unofficial rank
9-2-0 · Peru · next: Nyamjargal Tumendemberel 6%
27Nyamjargal Tumendemberel Unofficial rank
10-1-0 · Mongolia · next: Jose Ochoa 6%
28Lucas Rocha Unofficial rank
18-2-0 · Brazil · next: Nilson Rojas 8%
29Fabia Sintes Unofficial rank
12-3-0 · Spain · next: Nilson Rojas 13%
30Nilson Rojas Unofficial rank
9-1-0 · Chile · next: Fabia Sintes 13%

Ranked in the Meta top 15 only:

Booked flyweight fights

Other divisions

Bantamweight · Featherweight · Lightweight · Welterweight · Middleweight · Light Heavyweight · Heavyweight · Women's Strawweight · Women's Flyweight · Women's Bantamweight