Who will Tom Nolan 🇦🇺 fight next?
Tom Nolan is booked to fight Renato Moicano at UFC Vegas 123: Moicano vs Nolan (Meta APEX, Las Vegas) on Sat 31 Oct 2026.
Latest status: BOOKED: vs Renato Moicano, his first five-round main event, at UFC Vegas 123 on 31 Oct. He called Moicano out himself.
Updated (UAE time) · Percentages are NextSmash model estimates, not facts or betting advice.
Forecast: likely opponents Model estimate
Each percentage is the estimated chance of being his next opponent. These are not chances of winning. The confirmed bout above is official; this forecast is not.
- 92%chance next opponentOfficially booked, and it's the fight he called for.Likely event: UFC Vegas 123 · Meta Apex · 31 Oct 2026
Field / other: 8%. This covers everyone not listed above.
- Likely event
- UFC Vegas 123, Meta Apex, Las Vegas, 31 Oct 2026 · Event page: UFC Vegas 123: Moicano vs Nolan
- Last fight
- Win vs Fares Ziam · Decision (unanimous) · UFC Fight Night · 6 Jun 2026
- Confidence
- High (High = officially booked · Medium = reported or a fighter's own claim · Low = model only)
- Last updated
- (UAE time)
What changed?
- UFC.com.br: Moicano vs Nolan headlines UFC Vegas 123, 31 Oct · source
- MMA Junkie: Nolan calls out Moicano · source
Only dated items with a source are listed: news reports used for the estimate, plus changes to our logged estimates.
Fight history Pro record 11-1-0
| Result | Opponent | Method | Rd | Time | Event | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | Farès Ziam | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim | |
| W | Charlie Campbell | Submission (rear-naked choke) · R1, 4:08 | 1 | 4:08 | UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes | |
| W | Viacheslav Borshchev | Decision (unanimous) · R2, 4:58 | 2 | 4:58 | UFC 312 | |
| W | Alex Reyes | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | UFC 305 | |
| W | Victor Martinez | TKO (knee to the body and punches) · R1, 3:50 | 1 | 3:50 | UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy | |
| L | Nikolas Motta | TKO (punches) · R1, 1:03 | 1 | 1:03 | UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 | |
| W | Bogdan Grad | KO (punches) · R1, 1:23 | 1 | 1:23 | Dana White's Contender Series 57 | |
| W | Aidan Aguilera | TKO (knee and punches) · R1, 2:22 | 1 | 2:22 | Eternal MMA 74 | |
| W | Adam Cook | TKO (punches) · R2, 3:58 | 2 | 3:58 | Eternal MMA 72 | |
| W | Niam Stephen | TKO (punches) · R1, 3:54 | 1 | 3:54 | Eternal MMA 67 | |
| W | Trevor Sinclair | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | Eternal MMA 63 | |
| W | Sam Flint | Decision (unanimous) · R3, 5:00 | 3 | 5:00 | Xtreme FC 46 |
Professional MMA bouts only, newest first. Source: Wikipedia (checked 2 Oct 2026).
Tom Nolan: frequently asked questions
When is Tom Nolan's next fight?
Tom Nolan is booked to fight Renato Moicano at UFC Vegas 123: Moicano vs Nolan (Meta APEX, Las Vegas) on Sat 31 Oct 2026. Source: the UFC.com event page, checked 2 Oct 2026.
Who did Tom Nolan fight last?
Tom Nolan beat Fares Ziam at UFC Fight Night on 6 Jun 2026 (Decision (unanimous)).
Who is Tom Nolan likely to fight next?
The fight with Renato Moicano is officially booked. NextSmash model estimate: Renato Moicano (92%). Updated 1 Oct 2026. These are estimates, not facts or betting advice.
Is Tom Nolan fighting at UFC Sydney?
Not as of 1 Oct 2026: Tom Nolan is booked for UFC Vegas 123: Moicano vs Nolan on Sat 31 Oct 2026. UFC Fight Night Sydney is set for Sun 7 Feb 2027 at the Afterpay Arena, and no bouts had been announced when we checked on 2 Oct 2026.
What is Tom Nolan's record?
11-1-0 (wins-losses-draws) in professional MMA, as listed on UFC.com (checked 1 Oct 2026).
Your pick Saved on this device only
Just for you: your pick stays in this browser. It is not a community vote, and no one else sees it.
Other lightweight fighters
- Dan Hooker #13 · next: Brian Ortega 90%
- Beneil Dariush #15 · next: Mateusz Gamrot 8%
- Renato Moicano #12 · next: Tom Nolan 92%
- Nurullo Aliev Unofficial rank #16 · next: Grant Dawson 92%
- Rafael Fiziev #11 · next: Mateusz Gamrot 15%
More: Lightweight rankings and next fights · Australia UFC fighters · UFC Vegas 123: Moicano vs Nolan fight card
Sources
- UFC.com athlete profile (record, rank) · 1 Oct 2026
- UFC.com rankings (Media Panel + Meta boards) · 1 Oct 2026
- UFC.com.br: Moicano vs Nolan headlines UFC Vegas 123, 31 Oct · 14 Sep 2026
- MMA Junkie: Nolan calls out Moicano · 7 Jun 2026
- ESPN fighter profile (country) · 1 Oct 2026
Percentages are NextSmash model estimates from the factors shown above (see methodology). They are not facts, and not betting advice. Records and ranks come from UFC.com; country from ESPN. Checked 1 Oct 2026.